About Forecast of Seasonal Variations of the Global Sea Level

Malinin V.N., Shevchuk О.I. ‎

Regularities of seasonal variations of the Global Sea Level (GSL) based on satellite altimeter data for the ‎years 19932008 are discussed. Two prediction models of GSL seasonal variations are offered: a deter-‎ministic model as the sum of the trend and GSL annual harmonic and an adaptive model of linear ‎increase with additive seasonality. Considered are the results of testing and experiment forecasts of ‎monthly averaged GSL values based on independent data for 2005-2008 period. It is shown that by ‎‎2013 GSL may increase 1314 mm compared to the one in 2009.‎

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